Case Study – October 8, 2025
📘 Case Study: A Gentle Trade Setup on Nifty – October 8, 2025
🕰️ Context: The Moment of Shift at 12:45 PM
At 12:45 PM, Nifty began showing subtle signs of reversal:
- Price crossed a horizontal support line and began touching the HMA 9 (₹25,120.05).
- The candle was a small-bodied green with a lower wick—suggesting buying from the lows.
- Volume showed a mild uptick, hinting at interest.
This was not a loud breakout, but a whisper of strength—a moment where the market paused, gathered breath, and began to rise.
🕯️ Candlestick Confirmation
Between 12:45 and 13:00, a bullish sequence unfolded:
- 12:50: A green candle slightly engulfed the prior one—early strength.
- 12:55: Continued upward movement, confirming the breakout.
- 13:00: A decisive green candle with a strong body—momentum confirmed.
This trio formed a bullish continuation cluster, validating the support-HMA crossover.
🎯 Trade Setup
| Element | Value |
|---|---|
| Entry Point | ₹25,120 (near HMA 9 crossover) |
| Stop Loss (SL) | ₹25,100 (below support wick) |
| Target (T1) | ₹25,160 (near VWAP resistance) |
| Risk | ₹20 |
| Reward | ₹40 |
| Risk–Reward Ratio | 1:2 |
This setup honors dignified trading—low risk, clear structure, and no emotional chasing.
🧘♂️ Philosophical Reflection
“The market doesn’t always roar—it often whispers. At 12:45, Nifty whispered strength. Seniors who listen with patience and act with clarity find trades not in noise, but in nuance.”
🧰 Lessons for Ashok Chronicles Readers
- Support + MA crossover is a valid entry signal—but only when confirmed by candles and volume.
- Candlestick clusters are often more reliable than single patterns.
- Risk–Reward clarity is essential for dignified trading—never enter without knowing your SL and target.

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